Cuban transport projected to fall overall as intercity service drops 90 percent

A 2026 projection anticipates a steep reduction in passenger travel on Cuba's public transportation system. By year's end, trip volume would be 75 percent lower than in 2025, while intercity transportation is projected to contract by 90 percent. The figures concern different indicators and should not be added together.

The figures are estimates for the end of 2026 rather than a final balance. The 2025 comparison provides a reference for passenger trips, while the intercity figure describes contraction within that segment. The larger decline applies to travel between localities.

Fuel shortages are the central context. Conditions worsened in Cuba during 2026 amid U.S. measures, with state transportation among the most affected sectors. The crisis also appears in changes to domestic ticket sales and reservation failures. Those operational problems accompany the projected reduction, although no specific percentages are provided for ticketing or reservations.

An official told Reuters that traditional public transportation was at one of the lowest points in its history. That assessment aligns with the projections but is distinct from the numerical estimates. Together, the figures suggest intercity transportation will contract more sharply than passenger travel overall. Final results will be known at the end of 2026.