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EditorialEditorial · Malecón90 original

A dollar at 805 pesos is a daily vote against the national currency

The new informal dollar and euro rates portray loss of confidence in the peso, unequal access to foreign currency and inflation that official figures do not contain.

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The story

The informal dollar rate reached 805 Cuban pesos on October 17, according to several updates published that day. The figure exceeds the 800-CUP threshold and offers a clear signal of the value the parallel market assigned to the currency at that moment. It is not, however, an official rate and does not show that every transaction closed at the same price.

The available references themselves show why the time of each update matters when comparing figures. One placed the euro at 901 pesos in the morning; another listed it at 890, while the closing report put it at 904 CUP. These are not necessarily contradictory measurements: they correspond to different snapshots and may reflect movement during the day. The information does not reconstruct every transaction or establish a single rate.

For the dollar, reports agree on 805 CUP at the end of the day and say the figure had risen five pesos from the morning’s 800. That comparison describes an intraday advance, not a long-term trend. Without a broader, comparable time series, a one-time high is not enough to calculate how much the peso depreciated over a given period.

The MLC also appears in the updates but requires additional caution. One source reported an increase of 29.15 pesos without specifying the final rate there; other snapshots placed it near 634 CUP and, at the close, around 652. The last value was described as indicative because of low transaction volume. It should therefore not be treated as a firm reference or automatically equated with the dollar.

The distance between different currency rates does not by itself measure the peso’s loss of value: each figure corresponds to a particular currency and moment. More significant is that the peso sits at the center of informal transactions whose value changes during the day. Sources link that pressure to a structural shortage of foreign currency, although the cited data do not quantify each cause’s contribution.

For households, a higher parallel rate may make access to foreign currency more expensive in pesos if a transaction occurs at that price. It may also serve as a reference for buying and selling decisions, but the available information does not detail which goods changed price or by how much. Presenting general effects as verified increases in specific products would exceed what these rates show.

Publishing real-time values helps track a market in which cited sources offer different figures depending on the time of the update. It still does not answer basic questions: how many transactions support each estimate, what volume is traded and how prices are distributed among buyers and sellers. The MLC in particular remains more uncertain because reports identify a scarcity of data.

The dollar at 805 pesos is therefore a visible indicator of pressure on the peso, not a complete explanation of the economy or a universal rate. The figure requires distinguishing informal from official markets, a momentary quote from a trend, and observed data from interpretation. Without consistent series and transaction data, the extent of lost confidence can be analyzed but not precisely measured from a single close.